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Showing posts from March, 2026

Assumption-Based Planning by James A. Dewar A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises

What's it about? Assumption-Based Planning (2002) offers a different way to think about strategy. Instead of trying to predict what the future holds, it gives you a method for finding the weak points in any plan – the silent beliefs that, if they turn out to be wrong, bring everything down. You'll walk away with practical tools for stress-testing your goals and making them sturdy enough to survive surprise. All of us want certainty. So, when we plan, we often draw a line from where we are now to where we want to be, and we fill that line with milestones that feel solid and real. There’s comfort in picturing the finished project after all – the thriving business, the goal achieved. But somewhere in the back of your mind, there’s usually a flicker of unease. A quiet awareness that spreadsheets don't account for chaos. The confidence we feel might just be a story we tell ourselves to avoid staring into the unknown. This lesson will strip away that story. You’ll look beneath...